Puebla vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
PUE
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 2
IRA
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 3
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
IRA
3 - 2
PUE
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 0
PUE
37%
27%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 2
LOB
46%
25%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 2
TOL
27%
26%
48%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 0
UAT
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
LOB
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
LOB
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |