Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 6-7
Puebla vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 2
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAZ
4 - 0
PUE
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 0
ATS
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
IND
0 - 2
PUE
35%
29%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 1
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
CAZ
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAZ
4 - 0
PUE
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
PAC
1 - 3
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAZ
3 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
QRO
2 - 1
CAZ
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |