Puch vs TSV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
13º
9º
21
5º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 60 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
92.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
92.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
PUC
3 - 1
STR
48%
22%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
SAL
0 - 4
PUC
10%
15%
75%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PUC
2 - 1
HAL
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ANI
1 - 0
PUC
44%
22%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
PUC
0 - 2
BUR
43%
23%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
3 - 0
TSV
84%
11%
6%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TSV
2 - 3
STR
19%
20%
60%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
SAL
3 - 2
TSV
53%
20%
26%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
TSV
2 - 1
SAL
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
UFV
3 - 2
TSV
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |