Puch vs Bramberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
47.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
13º
8º
43
1º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
PUC
75%
14%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PUC
1 - 2
SIE
44%
21%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 3
PUC
13%
16%
71%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PUC
1 - 0
GOL
8%
13%
78%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +3 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PUC
1 - 2
SKA
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bramberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 2
GRO
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
USC
1 - 1
BRA
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 2
SEE
16%
18%
66%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
KUC
3 - 0
BRA
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
5 - 2
UFV
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |