PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
59%
20%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 1
TWE
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
PSV
10%
17%
73%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VVV
1 - 1
PSV
6%
14%
81%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 2
EUP
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 0
HER
49%
24%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
WIL
0 - 0
ZWO
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIL
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 3
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 2
HIB
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |