PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
PSV
3 - 0
BAT
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 2
PSV
10%
16%
74%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
BAT
2 - 3
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
PSV
9%
16%
75%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PSV
4 - 0
UTR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
5 - 0
HER
38%
25%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
VVV
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
ARI
77%
16%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
KVM
41%
23%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |