PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BVO
1 - 2
PSV
25%
24%
52%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
RJC
3 - 2
PSV
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 1
PSV
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 5
PSV
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
PSV
1 - 0
CEL
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
WIL
36%
26%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
GAE
49%
24%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TWE
3 - 2
WIL
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 1
ZWO
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |