PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
INT
2 - 0
PSV
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
PSV
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
PSV
4 - 0
FEY
54%
22%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 1
CSK
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
PSV
1 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
NEC
1 - 0
WIL
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
HFC
1 - 1
WIL
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 0
RJC
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 3
TWE
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
FEY
2 - 0
WIL
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |