PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
FEY
1 - 0
PSV
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
PSV
2 - 0
FEN
57%
21%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
ADO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2005 |
S04
3 - 0
PSV
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 1
UTR
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
SCH
3 - 3
WIL
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
NEC
2 - 0
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 4
VIT
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
TWE
3 - 1
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |