PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
UTR
1 - 3
PSV
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
GRA
2 - 0
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
PSV
2 - 0
RJC
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
SPA
0 - 2
PSV
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
WIL
2 - 0
RKC
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
MVV
1 - 1
WIL
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
WIL
1 - 4
BVO
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
UTR
1 - 1
WIL
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |