PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1999 |
PSV
1 - 1
VCF
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
BYM
2 - 1
PSV
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
PSV
2 - 1
FOR
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
PSV
2 - 0
ZIM
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1999 |
GIR
3 - 2
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 1
AZA
68%
18%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 3
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SCH
2 - 3
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 1
BOS
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |