PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
0 - 5
PSV
10%
16%
74%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
PSV
3 - 3
RJC
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1998 |
PSV
2 - 2
SLB
70%
17%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
NAC
3 - 4
PSV
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1998 |
SCH
3 - 3
PSV
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
WIL
1 - 0
NEC
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1998 |
WIL
3 - 5
VIT
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
42%
25%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
TWE
5 - 1
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
WIL
2 - 1
NAC
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |