PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
NAC
3 - 3
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
PSV
5 - 1
RKC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
PSV
3 - 1
RJC
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
RJC
3 - 1
PSV
28%
24%
47%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
PSV
3 - 1
WIL
85%
10%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
GRA
3 - 1
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
WIL
1 - 2
NEC
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
WIL
0 - 0
VOL
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
PSV
3 - 1
WIL
85%
10%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
WIL
2 - 0
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |