PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1997 |
PSV
6 - 1
UTR
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
GRO
0 - 1
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1997 |
SPA
1 - 3
PSV
22%
23%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
PSV
5 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
PSV
2 - 0
AJA
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1997 |
WIL
2 - 0
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
AZA
1 - 0
WIL
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
42%
26%
31%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
WIL
1 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |