PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1995 |
UTR
1 - 4
PSV
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
PSV
7 - 1
GRO
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
LEE
3 - 5
PSV
34%
26%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
PSV
4 - 0
RKC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
RJC
1 - 1
PSV
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
RJC
1 - 1
WIL
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 2
RKC
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
WIL
2 - 2
FEY
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
VOL
0 - 0
WIL
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1995 |
WIL
5 - 2
TWE
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |