PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
SCH
1 - 2
PSV
21%
21%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 2
PSV
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
88%
10%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
GAE
1 - 1
PSV
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
PSV
4 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 0
RKC
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1995 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
TWE
0 - 3
WIL
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 2
FEY
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1995 |
VOL
0 - 0
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |