PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
BOS
1 - 1
PSV
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
PSV
2 - 0
GRO
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
PSV
4 - 0
HFC
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
FEY
4 - 0
PSV
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
PSV
2 - 0
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
WIL
1 - 1
MVV
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
SPA
1 - 1
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
WIL
1 - 1
ADO
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |