PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.1%
13.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
VVD
2 - 2
PSV
64%
17%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
PSV
2 - 0
ELI
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
FCB
0 - 2
PSV
35%
22%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1958 |
PSV
2 - 0
MVV
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
ADO
2 - 0
PSV
43%
22%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
WIL
5 - 1
ELI
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
FOR
5 - 4
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
WIL
0 - 0
SPA
52%
21%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
WIL
4 - 0
ELI
72%
16%
13%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
RAP
3 - 3
WIL
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |