PSV vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 0
VIT
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 4
PSV
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
PSV
27%
23%
50%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PSV
5 - 2
TWE
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
PSV
44%
23%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
STR
3 - 3
LAS
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 1
STR
74%
17%
10%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
STR
0 - 3
WOL
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
STR
1 - 2
RIE
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
RBS
4 - 1
STR
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |