PSV vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
PSV
6 - 0
DUN
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
DUN
1 - 1
PSV
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
VVV
2 - 0
PSV
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
TEL
0 - 1
HFC
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
AZA
5 - 1
TEL
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
TEL
2 - 1
GRA
58%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
NEC
2 - 2
TEL
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
TEL
0 - 2
RJC
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |