Europa League 1/32
Global 1-0
PSV vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 1
PSV
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
SPO
0 - 0
PSV
43%
25%
32%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
ZWO
1 - 2
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
PSV
7 - 1
TWE
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ATH
2 - 3
SPO
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
SPO
4 - 1
UDL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
SPO
0 - 0
PSV
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 3
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
SPO
2 - 1
SEV
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |