Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 0-2
PSV vs NK Osijek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
GCZ
3 - 1
PSV
19%
22%
60%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
PSV
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
SIO
0 - 1
PSV
25%
23%
52%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
RKC
0 - 2
PSV
12%
19%
69%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PSV
4 - 1
ZWO
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
IST
1 - 1
OSI
22%
27%
50%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
FCL
2 - 1
OSI
49%
24%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
OSI
1 - 1
RUD
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
OSI
2 - 0
FCL
30%
24%
46%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
OSI
4 - 0
UES
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |