PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 1
VIT
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
PSV
0 - 0
KAI
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
4 - 1
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
TWE
1 - 2
PSV
47%
25%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
ADO
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
NEC
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
NEC
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
NEC
3 - 0
ACH
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
VVV
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |