PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
PSV
1 - 2
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
PSV
2 - 1
TEL
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 1
PSV
9%
17%
75%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 0
GAE
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 2
RJC
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FCE
2 - 0
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
ZWO
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
VOL
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
EIN
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |