PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2000 |
PSV
3 - 0
PAO
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 4
PSV
24%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
PSV
1 - 0
FEY
59%
21%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2000 |
PSV
2 - 3
AND
55%
21%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
TWE
0 - 2
PSV
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
TWE
4 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 2
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2000 |
FOR
1 - 2
NAC
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2000 |
AZA
3 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |