PSV vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2005 |
ACM
2 - 0
PSV
61%
22%
17%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
FEY
3 - 5
PSV
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 1
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
FIO
1 - 2
ACM
18%
27%
55%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2005 |
ACM
2 - 0
PSV
61%
22%
17%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
ACM
3 - 0
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ACM
1 - 0
CHI
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 1
ACM
14%
27%
59%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |