PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 0
PSV
29%
23%
48%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PSV
1 - 1
FEY
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 3
PSV
10%
17%
74%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 1
OLP
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
SPA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ADO
1 - 2
HER
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 1
ZWO
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RKC
3 - 0
HER
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -2 |