PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
PSV
23%
22%
55%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PSV
4 - 1
SCH
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 1
ZWO
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TWE
0 - 5
PSV
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FEY
2 - 1
PSV
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 3
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
ZWO
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
FCD
2 - 3
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 4
SCH
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |