PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PSV
3 - 2
TWE
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
BVO
1 - 2
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
RKC
2 - 0
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
BVO
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
ADO
0 - 3
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
RKC
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
TWE
3 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |