PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 5
PSV
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
FCK
1 - 1
PSV
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PSV
1 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
RJC
0 - 2
PSV
23%
27%
50%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
NEC
0 - 4
PSV
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
GRO
4 - 1
HER
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
HER
3 - 1
UTR
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
HER
3 - 0
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 2
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
RKC
0 - 1
HER
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |