PSV vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
PSV
19%
23%
57%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 2
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 1
VIT
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
PSV
0 - 0
KAI
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRA
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 2
SCH
16%
21%
62%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
BAY
3 - 0
GRA
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
FCN
4 - 1
GRA
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |