PSV vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
PSV
2 - 1
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 2
PSV
6%
13%
81%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
PSV
2 - 1
BRU
69%
19%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
PSV
3 - 1
AZA
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
HER
0 - 4
PSV
10%
16%
74%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIT
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
FEY
4 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GRA
5 - 1
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
GNK
1 - 0
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRO
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |