PSV vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
PSV
4 - 2
SPA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1997 |
PSV
1 - 3
DYN
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
FEY
1 - 1
PSV
44%
24%
33%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
PSV
0 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1997 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRA
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
WIL
0 - 0
FOR
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
71%
17%
11%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
FOR
0 - 3
RKC
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1997 |
FOR
0 - 5
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |