PSV vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 6
PSV
13%
20%
68%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
RIJ
0 - 4
PSV
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
PSV
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
64%
19%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 3
PSV
39%
23%
38%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
ZWO
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
GAE
2 - 3
ZWO
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ZWO
1 - 2
AZA
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 1
ZWO
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ZWO
0 - 0
VVV
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |