PSV vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
4º
2º
54
7º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
PSV
5 - 0
ZUR
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 1
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 5
PSV
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BVO
3 - 0
PSV
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PSV
4 - 3
FEY
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UTR
1 - 2
AZA
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 1
UTR
22%
23%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
UTR
0 - 0
NEC
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UTR
1 - 0
VIT
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 4
UTR
20%
23%
57%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |