PSV vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PSV
4 - 2
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
64%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PSV
4 - 2
TWE
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FEY
0 - 2
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 1
PSV
23%
22%
55%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TWE
3 - 1
UTR
36%
26%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 0
ZWO
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 4
UTR
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 0
BVO
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |