PSV vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GAE
2 - 3
PSV
20%
22%
59%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NEC
0 - 2
PSV
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 1
HER
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PSV
3 - 2
TWE
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
BVO
1 - 2
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRO
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 1
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
RKC
5 - 2
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 2
ZWO
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |