PSV vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 2
PSV
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 3
PSV
26%
25%
49%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PSV
7 - 1
RJC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
VVS
0 - 8
PSV
8%
19%
73%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PSV
2 - 2
AJA
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
UTR
3 - 0
RKC
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
UTR
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
UTR
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
UTR
2 - 2
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 3
UTR
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |