PSV vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
PSV
44%
23%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
PSV
1 - 2
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 1
ZWO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
STR
1 - 4
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
OSS
0 - 2
TWE
15%
20%
65%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 2
NEC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 1
TWE
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 3
TWE
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |