PSV vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FEY
0 - 2
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 1
PSV
23%
22%
55%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 2
ZWO
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 3
PSV
27%
23%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PSV
1 - 1
RJC
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
TWE
4 - 0
HER
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
GNK
3 - 2
TWE
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
VIT
5 - 1
TWE
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |