PSV vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
BVO
1 - 2
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
RKC
2 - 0
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 0
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 2
TWE
43%
24%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TWE
3 - 1
BVO
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
TWE
3 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
RKC
1 - 1
TWE
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
TWE
3 - 1
GAE
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |