PSV vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 3
PSV
39%
23%
38%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PSV
1 - 2
VIT
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
PSV
1 - 2
DNI
68%
18%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 6
PSV
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 3
HEL
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 0
ADO
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 2
ZWO
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
HAN
0 - 0
TWE
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
27%
24%
49%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |