PSV vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 2
FEY
70%
18%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 1
TRA
61%
21%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GRO
3 - 0
PSV
19%
24%
58%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 2
PSV
39%
25%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 1
GRA
78%
16%
7%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 0
UTR
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 0
STB
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 4
TWE
15%
22%
62%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
STB
0 - 1
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 3
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |