PSV vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PSV
1 - 0
FEY
56%
23%
22%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 1
PSV
20%
26%
54%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
PSV
1 - 3
LIV
13%
21%
67%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
PSV
4 - 2
GRO
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 2
PSV
45%
25%
31%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2008 |
PSG
4 - 0
TWE
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 4
TWE
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TWE
6 - 2
SPA
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 1
S04
34%
27%
40%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |