PSV vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 2
PSV
30%
24%
46%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
46%
22%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
GRA
2 - 2
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
PSV
3 - 0
SPA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
PSV
6 - 0
WIL
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
GRO
1 - 2
VIT
27%
26%
48%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 0
GRO
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
GRO
2 - 0
GRA
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRO
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
GRO
0 - 1
VIT
28%
25%
48%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |