PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PSV
2 - 2
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 0
FEY
47%
22%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
PSV
8 - 0
KON
89%
8%
3%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
PSV
20%
21%
59%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 0
PSV
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
EXC
1 - 0
FCD
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
VVV
1 - 1
EXC
18%
23%
60%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 3
EXC
19%
20%
61%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 0
VOL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 1
EXC
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |