PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
PSV
4 - 0
ZWO
75%
16%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
FEY
2 - 0
PSV
25%
23%
53%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TWE
0 - 2
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
PSV
13%
18%
69%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PSV
1 - 1
FLU
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
RJC
2 - 1
EXC
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
HOF
2 - 2
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 0
TWE
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |