PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSV
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
CSK
3 - 2
PSV
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PSV
2 - 1
NEC
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 2
BVO
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
UTR
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ADO
3 - 3
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
EXC
18%
22%
61%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZWO
3 - 0
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |