PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
DIN
1 - 0
PSV
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 0
PSV
35%
24%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PSV
4 - 0
BVO
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
PSV
1 - 0
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
BVO
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 2
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
FCD
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 1
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 1
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |