PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
PSV
5 - 0
RIE
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ADO
0 - 3
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
RIE
0 - 0
PSV
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PSV
1 - 0
RKC
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
AZA
3 - 1
PSV
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
FEY
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 4
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 1
UTR
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |